3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1945
· Other
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$388/mo
Annual
$4,657/yr
Cap rate
14.32%
Cash-on-cash
28.68%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$16,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#783 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $58k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FPZAT40PKR6WJZ
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29