117 NW 2nd St · Georgetown, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 2-car detached garage offering plenty of potential! Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio, a first-time homebuyer, or ready to downsize, this property is a fantastic opportunity. The functional layout provides comfortable living spaces, while the detached garage adds extra storage and convenience. With a little vision, this home can truly shine—don’t miss your chance to make it your own!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1945
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dryer; Electric water heater; Range; Refrigerator; Washer; Unfinished, partial basement with crawl space and sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (laundry on main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#783 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $58k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.68%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,347
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- -20.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $56,357
- Equity at exit
- $52,251
- IRR
- 40.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.03×
- Total profit
- $146,622
- Equity at exit
- $112,681
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61846
- Home prices YoY
- 9.4%
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Logan St Georgetown, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 212 Logan St Georgetown, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 303 W 12th St Georgetown, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $58,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $58,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $58,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $58,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $58,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $58,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $58,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $58,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $58,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$58,000 Active 463-char remark
-
1999-07-09soldstatus $26,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$1,529
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $4,012
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$963
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Georgetown
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #783
- US rank
- #15620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Georgetown, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,484
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,775 people
- By 2030
- 69,235 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 62,360 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 55,539 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 40,606 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 26,985 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.78%
- Current HPI
- 254.5489
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+118.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $58,000 CIBR
- 1999-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,529 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…