3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,628 sqft ·
Built 1931
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,987/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$650/mo
Annual
$7,806/yr
Cap rate
13.08%
Cash-on-cash
24.24%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#81 in TX, #2,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Mount Pleasant ISD (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #291 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Vivian Fowler El (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 404 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 74% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 382 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Titus County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.5% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQBXE5457ECN5F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29