6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$734
Net cashflow
$342/mo
Annual
$4,107/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.19%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/2ba + 1×?bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $171/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (0.1% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $350k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $350k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,495/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1556% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FQKA352KZSXZPJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29