3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,343 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 284 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$871
Net cashflow
$858/mo
Annual
$10,298/yr
Cap rate
9.24%
Cash-on-cash
10.51%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $350k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $858 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $308k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,148/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 655% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and stained, indicating wear and tear.
Moderate: Interior walls
— Signs of wear and may need repainting.
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated and may need updating.
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated and may need updating.
Moderate: Hardwood flooring
— Worn and may need refinishing.
Moderate: Landscaping
— Overgrown and may need trimming and maintenance.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29