4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,824 sqft ·
Built 1981
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,547/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$587
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$535
Net cashflow
$-95/mo
Annual
$-1,144/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-48/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (5.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $255k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: College Hills El (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 596 students, 75% FRL); Oakwood Int (math 55% / reading 47%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 719 students, 48% FRL); A & M Cons H S (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B, #193 of 1,632 statewide, top 12%, 2,139 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 24% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,547/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 8224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FTGNSRFMM2B2EW
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29