3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,760 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,024/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$210
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-97/mo
Annual
$-1,159/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.93%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (6.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (5.8% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#349 in PA, #3,056 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Red Lion Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #282 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Red Lion Area Shs (math 63% / reading 24%, grade F, #211 of 437 statewide, top 48%, 1,432 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 28% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Red Lion — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Slight wear visible
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Slight wear visible
CashFlowRE · CFR-FTJ8TFDBH5AC62
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29