5 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,826 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 340 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,618/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,202
Tax + insurance
−$1,008
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$760
Net cashflow
$-351/mo
Annual
$-4,218/yr
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.59%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$117,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $420k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-351 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $358k (14.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (13.8% below list).
It's been on market 340 days — a 12% lower offer ($370k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $358k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 84 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 340 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FV587X1G2JND93
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29