2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$733/mo
Annual
$8,792/yr
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.70%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Lebanon School District (town): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in NH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.2% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FVHSDA05YXBE33
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29