2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
947 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$895/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$718
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$188
Net cashflow
$-104/mo
Annual
$-1,254/yr
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.27%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$38,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (34.7% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $90k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($947 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#193 in IA, #3,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
South O'Brien Community School District (rural): math 64% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #196 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: South O'Brien Elem Sch Primghar Center (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 324 students, 38% FRL); South O'Brien Secondary School (math 62% / reading 66%, grade B-, #235 of 336 statewide, top 71%, 252 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FYNC3S1A296091
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29