2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,691/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$-195/mo
Annual
$-2,337/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.71%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-195 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (15.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (23.1% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $169k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#418 in PA, #3,807 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
Wilson SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #127 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spring Ridge El Sch (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #444 of 1,518 statewide, top 32%, 559 students, 46% FRL); Wilson Southern Ms (math 24% / reading 59%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 767 students, 42% FRL); Wilson Hs (math 61% / reading 24%, grade F, #225 of 437 statewide, top 51%, 2,059 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $220k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FZ1ABV14S2PKT6
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29