808 N Garfield Ave

Rotan, TX 79546

$14,900D+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 608 sqft · Built 1950 · SingleFamily · Active · 85 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $821/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$78
• Tax + insurance: −$16
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$172
• Net cashflow: $555/mo
• Annual: $6,659/yr
• Cap rate: 50.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 159.60%
• DSCR: 8.10
• 1% rule: 5.51%
• Cash to close: $4,172

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($821 rent vs $15k).
• It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $14k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $213 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,123 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D.
• Rotan ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #405 of 1,141 in TX (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
• Fisher County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.