4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,005 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,617/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,992
Tax + insurance
−$570
HOA
−$45
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$550
Net cashflow
$-540/mo
Annual
$-6,477/yr
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.09%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$106,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-540 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (25.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (31.1% below list).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($346k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Renaissance Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,166 students, 71% FRL); Langston Hughes High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,964 students, 65% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 655 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $255k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,617/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G066P5BVZVYT44
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29