2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,423 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$566
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$256/mo
Annual
$3,073/yr
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.16%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$30,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#71 in MO, #4,801 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, commute F.
Warrensburg R-VI (town): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #184 of 324 in MO (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.2% in Warrensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof structure
Major: exterior siding
— No visible siding
Major: exterior paint
— No visible paint
Major: interior walls
— No visible interior walls
Major: interior paint
— No visible interior paint
Major: bathrooms
— No visible bathrooms
CashFlowRE · CFR-G1Q22Y2A0TPB0B
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29