3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$600
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$670/mo
Annual
$8,041/yr
Cap rate
13.32%
Cash-on-cash
25.08%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$32,060
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $114k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($792 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pierce Park Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #148 of 357 statewide, top 47%, 219 students, 27% FRL); Capital Senior High School (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #59 of 169 statewide, top 35%, 1,220 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent satellite image shows visible wear and tear on the roof.
Major: flooring
— The interior carpet appears to be worn and may need replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G3FRAEC71X38W7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29