4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,976 sqft ·
Built 1907
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$568
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$-172/mo
Annual
$-2,065/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.46%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-172 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (10.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $249k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in CT, #505 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Meriden School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #116 of 153 in CT (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Israel Putnam School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 500 students, 77% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #118 of 175 statewide, top 68%, 622 students, 81% FRL); Francis T. Maloney High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,264 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 61% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
14 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $215k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in Meriden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G3G9W33P3EGKZA
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29