🏷️ Likely Rental
185 Curtis St · Meriden, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this spectacular Victoria. The inside of this house like stepping into the pass. All exterior of this home has been painted restore majority of the wood been replaced also there is outside building barn included in the deal. showing over the weekend only saturday 1-4pm and sunday 2-6pm Tenant occupied 4 bedroom the third-floor finish attic.
Key facts
- Wood replaced
- Exterior painted
- 0.36 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-172 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (10.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in Meriden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in CT, #505 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Meriden School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #116 of 153 in CT (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Israel Putnam School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 500 students, 77% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #118 of 175 statewide, top 68%, 622 students, 81% FRL); Francis T. Maloney High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,264 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 61% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $215k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.46%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $446,804
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -32.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Ann St | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 1,826 (-8%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $71 | 71 |
| 248 Curtis St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,744 (-12%) | 6mo | $309,900 | $178 | 68 |
| 264 Curtis St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,691 (-14%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 206 Gale Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,861 (-6%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $207 | 59 |
| 201 Lydale Pl | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,844 (-7%) | 6mo | $475,000 | $258 | 56 |
| 90 Plumb Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,810 (-8%) | 3mo | $392,000 | $217 | 51 |
| 85 Hillcrest Ter | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,184 (+10%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $176 | 45 |
| 15 Collins Pkwy | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,755 (-11%) | 11mo | $355,500 | $203 | 43 |
| 16 Kenwood Rd | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,814 (-8%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $234 | 42 |
| 61 Ridgefield St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,700 (-14%) | 0mo | $385,000 | $226 | 42 |
| 64 Victoria Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,712 (-13%) | 3mo | $308,000 | $180 | 37 |
| 80 Kenwood Rd | 0.75mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,806 (-9%) | 10mo | $248,000 | $137 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-62,816
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-81,826
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06450
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,492 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$443 /mo · $5,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $-172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2 | -5% $-87 | +0% $-172 | +5% $-257 | +10% $-342 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-369 | -5% $-270 | +0% $-172 | +5% $-74 | +10% $25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-96 | base $-172 | +0.5pp $-250 | +1.0pp $-329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Liberty St Meriden, CT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2215 | $2,900 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 31 Winthrop St Meriden, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,400 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1 Barristers Ct Unit 2nd Flr Meriden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1512 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 48 Prospect St Unit 1st floor Meriden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2292 | $2,000 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 39 N Spring St Unit 2 Meriden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $299,900 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Come see this spectacular Victoria. The inside of this house like stepping into the pass. All exterior of this home has been painted restore majority of the wood been replaced also there is outside building barn included in the deal. showing over the weekend only saturday 1-4pm and sunday 2-6pm Tenant occupied 4 bedroom the third-floor finish attic.
-
2026-04-14$337,290 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Come see this spectacular Victoria. The inside of this house like stepping into the pass. All exterior of this home has been painted restore majority of the wood been replaced also there is outside building barn included in the deal. showing over the weekend only saturday 1-4pm and sunday 2-6pm Tenant occupied 4 bedroom the third-floor finish attic.
-
2025-09-18status Active
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-08-14historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2025-07-16$340,000 Active
-
2025-05-31historical
-
2025-04-22historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2025-04-14$315,000 Active
-
2024-11-08soldstatus $215,000 Closed
-
2024-10-10status Under Contract
-
2024-10-08price $219,900
-
2024-09-27$249,900 Active
-
2024-09-26historical
-
2024-09-23status Active
-
2024-09-08historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2024-08-28$279,900 Active
-
2020-11-02historical
-
2020-10-31$244,900 Active
-
2013-03-18historical
-
2012-06-25$319,900
-
2007-08-28soldstatus $260,000
-
2007-08-28soldstatus $260,000
-
2007-08-28soldstatus $262,000
-
2007-07-17historical
-
2007-07-17historical
-
2007-05-23$269,900
-
2007-05-23$269,900
-
2007-01-17$279,900
-
2007-01-17$279,900
-
2006-12-15historical
-
2006-08-14$299,900
-
1999-03-01soldstatus $259,900
-
1991-05-17soldstatus $165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,316 · $443/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,867 · $489/mo
- Expected delta
- +$551/yr (+$46/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$5,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,392
- − Management
- −$2,392
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,221
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,733
- After-tax cash flow
- $-332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meriden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902400
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,883
- Composite
- 29.84/100
- National rank
- #6413
- State rank
- #116 of 153 in CT
Livability — Meriden
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meriden, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 60,545
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,694
- Household income
- $71,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Black 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 23% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.37%
- Current HPI
- 263.7288
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+81.8% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $299,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $337,290 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-18 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-08-14 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2025-07-16 Listed $340,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-04-22 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed $315,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-11-08 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-10-10 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2024-10-08 Price Changed $219,900 Smart MLS
- 2024-09-27 Listed $249,900 Smart MLS
- 2024-09-26 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2024-09-23 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2024-09-08 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2024-08-28 Listed $279,900 Smart MLS
- 2020-11-02 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2020-10-31 Listed $244,900 Smart MLS
- 2013-03-18 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2012-06-25 Listed $319,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $262,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-28 Sold (MLS) $260,000 Smart MLS
- 2007-08-28 Sold (MLS) $260,000 Smart MLS
- 2007-07-17 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2007-07-17 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2007-05-23 Listed $269,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-05-23 Listed $269,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-01-17 Listed $279,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-01-17 Listed $279,900 Smart MLS
- 2006-12-15 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2006-08-14 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS
- 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $259,900 Public Records
- 1991-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,316 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…