3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,202 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 255 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$382
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$176/mo
Annual
$2,114/yr
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.38%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$20,370
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $73k).
It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $503 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in TX, #1,354 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Panhandle ISD (rural): math 73% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #27 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Carson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carson County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G3GPER264CS7VN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29