3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,037 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 405 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$865/mo
Annual
$10,380/yr
Cap rate
27.05%
Cash-on-cash
74.14%
DSCR
4.30
1% rule
3.10%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $865 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#221 in MN, #4,729 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Renville County West School District (rural): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #255 of 301 in MN (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Renville County West Elementary (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #636 of 857 statewide, top 76%, 350 students, 58% FRL); Renville County West Senior High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #354 of 471 statewide, top 77%, 230 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Renville County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Renville County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $50k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G3TVYT1J8Z1VV5
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29