3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,605 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 139 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,272
Tax + insurance
−$404
HOA
−$270
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-348/mo
Annual
$-4,174/yr
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.15%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$67,900
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $242k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-348 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (20.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (16.6% below list).
It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-G3WKA2EBB6M57K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29