15 bd · 9.0 ba ·
2,592 sqft ·
Built 1870
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,442/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$933
Net cashflow
$2,210/mo
Annual
$26,525/yr
Cap rate
21.41%
Cash-on-cash
53.98%
DSCR
3.40
1% rule
2.47%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $737/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#95 in NY, #1,446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
Fredonia Central School District (town): math 55% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #376 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.3% in Fredonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and potential leaks
Major: siding
— Peeling paint and visible damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-G4A66C3HH2XMAF
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29