4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,508 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,207/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$807
Tax + insurance
−$256
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,310/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.04%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$43,068
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 50% / reading 38%, grade F, #164 of 454 statewide, top 37%, 458 students, 77% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 64% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 230724.0% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G4AB0ZDQC5V7X6
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29