🔨 Auction
1609 S R St · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * Auction Friday, May 29, 2026 at 1:00 pm on site. * * * This is a 4 bedroom, 2 bath that needs TLC with building and carport
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport with 1 covered space; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a house (one level)
- Exterior features: Chain link partial fencing; Level lot; Public maintained road; Subdivision: Bailey
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Laminate and wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 50% / reading 38%, grade F, #164 of 454 statewide, top 37%, 458 students, 77% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 64% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 230724.0% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.04%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 S N St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,534 (+2%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 2009 S P St. St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-8%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $68 | 61 |
| 722 S 19th St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,505 (-0%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $90 | 57 |
| 2035 S L St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,425 (-6%) | 8mo | $73,700 | $52 | 56 |
| 2204 S 26th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,531 (+2%) | 6mo | $208,000 | $136 | 55 |
| 2104 S S St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,694 (+12%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $124 | 53 |
| 2115 Packard Pl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,577 (+5%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $108 | 52 |
| 2017 South M St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-9%) | 10mo | $136,700 | $100 | 47 |
| 2307 S 23 St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,356 (-10%) | 2mo | $93,379 | $69 | 44 |
| 1123 S 22nd St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,393 (-8%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $126 | 41 |
| 2825 S 18th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,668 (+11%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $102 | 37 |
| 2115 Country Club Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,298 (-14%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $85 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-30,171
- Equity at exit
- $22,934
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-28,031
- Equity at exit
- $13,299
Cash invested: $43,068 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72901
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 174
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$807
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$192 /mo · $2,307/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-162 | +10% $-215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-157 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-32 | -0.5pp $-70 | base $-109 | +0.5pp $-149 | +1.0pp $-190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,454
- Closing costs
- $4,614
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 S 17th St Unit D Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $975 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1307 S 17th St Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1161 | $1,150 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2307 S 23rd St Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02status $1 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$1 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,616
- − Property taxes
- −$2,307
- − Insurance
- −$769
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$4,475
- Taxable loss
- −$3,996
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$959
- After-tax cash flow
- $-351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,819
- Household income
- $42,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1117.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.82%
- Current HPI
- 172.3777
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.37%
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $756 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…