1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
500 sqft ·
Built 1958
· Other
· Active
· 245 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,041/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$443
Tax + insurance
−$207
HOA
−$744
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$639
Net cashflow
$1,008/mo
Annual
$12,093/yr
Cap rate
21.55%
Cash-on-cash
54.48%
DSCR
3.42
1% rule
3.60%
Cash to close
$23,660
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($584 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 24% of rent; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 814 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,041/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2422% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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