Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN 37135
$295,000F
2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,309 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Condo
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,393/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$319
HOA
−$310
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$-286/mo
Annual
$-3,426/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.15%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (17.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Davidson County (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #126 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Henry C. Maxwell Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #786 of 952 statewide, top 84%, 555 students, 0% FRL); Thurgood Marshall Middle (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #291 of 333 statewide, top 88%, 753 students, 0% FRL); Cane Ridge High School (math 0% / reading 11%, grade F, #307 of 332 statewide, top 92%, 1,948 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 446 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,873 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (4,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.0% in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G73KVS4BNAZEBV
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29