2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,338 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$440
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$-1,132/mo
Annual
$-13,585/yr
Cap rate
1.42%
Cash-on-cash
-17.39%
DSCR
0.23
1% rule
0.40%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (71.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (60.5% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (71.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#118 in IA, #2,215 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pcm Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #124 of 289 in IA (top 43%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Prairie City Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 320 students, 25% FRL); Pcm Middle School (math 65% / reading 72%, grade A, #126 of 246 statewide, top 53%, 247 students, 29% FRL); Pcm High School (math 64% / reading 83%, grade B+, #108 of 336 statewide, top 33%, 357 students, 21% FRL).
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; list at $279k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 72% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G7ARVN5FS8A3EM
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29