4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,290 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,232/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$771
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$83/mo
Annual
$994/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.42%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$41,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($994/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (16.2% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $123k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#310 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Shickley Public Schools (rural): math 65% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #81 of 245 in NE (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shickley Elementary School (math 64% / reading 54%, grade B-, #111 of 502 statewide, top 26%, 106 students, 20% FRL); Shickley High School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #107 of 261 statewide, top 52%, 58 students, 14% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Fillmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fillmore County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $147k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G7MJ5G0D7V12NA
· Data 39 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29