3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Manufactured
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,282/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,269
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$479
Net cashflow
$366/mo
Annual
$4,387/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$67,732
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $242k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (5.7% below list).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clyde El (366 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+43.4%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP.
Shackelford County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $68k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,282/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G97JDV5ZBAT2H1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29