3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,185
Tax + insurance
−$481
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$93/mo
Annual
$1,122/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.77%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$63,252
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $226k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (1.4% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $223k (1.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#152 in PA, #1,271 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Whitehall-Coplay SD (suburban): math 28% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #356 of 539 in PA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: George D Steckel El Sch (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 565 students, 100% FRL); Whitehall-Coplay Ms (math 14% / reading 49%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 982 students, 100% FRL); Whitehall Hs (math 57% / reading 15%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 1,459 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 38% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 100300% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $226k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9N4SC56N4BAX4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29