2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-757/mo
Annual
$-9,078/yr
Cap rate
3.84%
Cash-on-cash
-8.77%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$103,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-757 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (36.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (48.4% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (48.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: St. Michael Elementary (math 84% / reading 71%, grade A, #21 of 857 statewide, top 3%, 588 students, 23% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle East (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #24 of 258 statewide, top 9%, 892 students, 18% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
Market conditions: 356 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; list at $370k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 3.2% in St. Michael — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($131k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9PHNF004XPTFZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29