2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
957 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,969/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$1,894
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$-1,652/mo
Annual
$-19,818/yr
Cap rate
-4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-37.25%
DSCR
-0.66
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $564 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tangelo Park Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 457 students, 83% FRL); Freedom Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,159 students, 44% FRL); Freedom High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,623 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 96% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 28d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate -4.1% vs local median 3.1% in Orlando — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9X3KD1RZMN6DX
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29