4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,231 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$-81/mo
Annual
$-969/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-969/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (28.6% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#215 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D+.
Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $175k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GAS4ZH6BJY3CMJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29