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8646 Highway 84
D Composite 41.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$175,000

8646 Highway 84 · Ferriday, LA 71334
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,231 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1956 12 ac lot Est $174k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms 12 acres Large shed for storage/workspace Spacious primary bedroom with walk-in closet and bath Central heat and air Tons of storage space Ongoing updates and renovation potential Covered Patio Quiet country setting

Key facts

  • Covered patio
  • 12 acres
  • 12 acre lot

Tags

12 ACRESCOVERED PATIOQUIET COUNTRY SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-969/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (8.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (28.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#215 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $175k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,027 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,018
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8646 Highway 84 0.00mi 4/3.0 2,231 (0%) 0mo $175,000 $78 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$43,640
Equity at exit
$108,231
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$132,713
Equity at exit
$194,752

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71334

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $934/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,353
Max offer price $160,732
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-31
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-09
    listed $175,000 Active
  3. 2017-02-10
    soldstatus $105,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$934 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$962 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,003
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$934
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$4,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$984
After-tax cash flow
$15/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concordia Parish
NCES district ID
2200480
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -34.00%
Median HH income
$29,931
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#65 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ferriday

Score
62/100
State rank
#215
US rank
#16581

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,382

Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,933 people
By 2030
18,157 · -4.1%
By 2040
16,559 · -12.5%
By 2050
15,067 · -20.4%
By 2075
11,770 · -37.8%
By 2100
8,541 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Concordia

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.84%
Current HPI
108.4427
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $175,000 MLSU
  • 2017-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $934 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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