3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,592 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,135/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$-217/mo
Annual
$-2,606/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.03%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (38.6% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#674 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Clarinda Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #249 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 68% / reading 61%, grade B, #317 of 616 statewide, top 58%, 578 students, 44% FRL); Clarinda High School (math 56% / reading 58%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 484 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Page County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Page County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29