500 5th St · Yorktown, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FSBO for data purposes
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New kitchen
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (20.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (38.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#674 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarinda Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #249 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 68% / reading 61%, grade B, #317 of 616 statewide, top 58%, 578 students, 44% FRL); Clarinda High School (math 56% / reading 58%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 484 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Page County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Page County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.03%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,416
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -9.94%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 N 5th St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (0%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $116 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,371
- Equity at exit
- $83,184
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $49,096
- Equity at exit
- $128,196
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51656
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $802/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-112 | -5% $-165 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-270 | +10% $-322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-307 | -5% $-262 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-124 | -0.5pp $-170 | base $-217 | +0.5pp $-265 | +1.0pp $-314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
FSBO for data purposes
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2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-12$185,000 Active 893-char remark
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2025-10-07price $199,900
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2025-06-20$220,000 Active
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2024-06-13soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,051/yr (+$88/mo · 131.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$802
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$6,028
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,447
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarinda Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907350
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,371
- Composite
- 50.74/100
- National rank
- #1814
- State rank
- #249 of 289 in IA
Livability — Yorktown
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #674
- US rank
- #15656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yorktown, IA
- City population
- 26
- Population (ZIP)
- 26
Population outlook (Page County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,052 people
- By 2030
- 14,709 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 13,981 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 13,302 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 11,678 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 9,213 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Albanian 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Page
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.7pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+44.1 2012: R+24.9 2008: R+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+183.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $184,000 SWIAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 SWIAR
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $199,900 IAR
- 2025-06-20 Listed $220,000 IAR
- 2024-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…