3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 194 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,099/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,445
Tax + insurance
−$631
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-417/mo
Annual
$-5,007/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.14%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$77,140
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $276k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (26.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in IN, #898 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: New Britton Elementary School (math 70% / reading 59%, grade B, #78 of 994 statewide, top 9%, 624 students, 27% FRL); Riverside Junior High (math 42% / reading 56%, grade C-, #53 of 330 statewide, top 16%, 895 students, 25% FRL); Fishers High School (math 64% / reading 82%, grade B+, #8 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 3,674 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 111d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $276k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Fishers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Slight wear and tear, but not in need of immediate replacement.
Minor: Bathroom vanity
— Some wear, but still functional and not in need of immediate replacement.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Some peeling and wear, indicating a need for repainting or minor repairs.
Minor: Driveway
— Some cracks and wear, but not in need of immediate replacement.
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29