3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,591/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,384/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.15%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (8.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (30.8% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
School City Of Hammond (suburban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #289 of 301 in IN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elementary Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #921 of 994 statewide, top 94%, 283 students, 69% FRL); Henry W Eggers Middle School (math 5% / reading 17%, grade F, #312 of 330 statewide, top 95%, 855 students, 76% FRL); Hammond Central High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #339 of 369 statewide, top 93%, 1,863 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29