3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Active
· 404 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$-182/mo
Annual
$-2,180/yr
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.54%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (14.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (34.7% below list).
It's been on market 404 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#112 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Uinta County School District #1 (town): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #17 of 41 in WY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Evanston Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #62 of 151 statewide, top 49%, 308 students, 63% FRL); Evanston Middle School (math 49% / reading 58%, grade C+, #31 of 55 statewide, top 57%, 304 students, 52% FRL); Evanston High School (math 49% / reading 59%, grade C-, #24 of 75 statewide, top 35%, 747 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 32% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Uinta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Uinta County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.9% in Evanston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 404 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GCRS8F2Y2W06VV
· Data 12 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29