3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,428/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$624/mo
Annual
$7,485/yr
Cap rate
18.85%
Cash-on-cash
44.86%
DSCR
3.00
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,146 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GDF621D6XV7G70
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29