1805 Pennsylvania Ave · Millerton, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential with some work. Needs a new heating system. Pre qual letter (rehab or construction) or proof of cash needed at time of offer. Offers will be considered 7 days from initial listing. Only NSp, municipalities, no-profit or owner occupied offers will be considered 8th day through 15th calendar day. All buyers offers will be considered beginning on the 16th calendar day after initial listing. After a price reduction the first 8 days seller will only look at owner occupied offers. 9th day all offers will be considered after a listing modification.
Key facts
- Spacious farmhouse
- Nice sized yard
- 0.7 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Septic tank; Well water
- Home design: 2 stories; Existing/previously built property
- Construction: Wood siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Galley kitchen
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Mixed/varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Galley kitchen; Workshop
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,146 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.86%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,378
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -50.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $75,128
- Equity at exit
- $58,467
- IRR
- 49.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.46×
- Total profit
- $190,109
- Equity at exit
- $126,086
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14871
- Home prices YoY
- 9.9%
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,428 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-11$64,900 Active 643-char remark
-
2018-10-02soldstatus $30,000 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Great potential with some work. Needs a new heating system. Pre qual letter (rehab or construction) or proof of cash needed at time of offer. Offers will be considered 7 days from initial listing. Only NSp, municipalities, no-profit or owner occupied offers will be considered 8th day through 15th calendar day. All buyers offers will be considered beginning on the 16th calendar day after initial listing. After a price reduction the first 8 days seller will only look at owner occupied offers. 9th day all offers will be considered after a listing modification.
-
2018-07-09$35,000 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Great potential with some work. Needs a new heating system. Pre qual letter (rehab or construction) or proof of cash needed at time of offer. Offers will be considered 7 days from initial listing. Only NSp, municipalities, no-profit or owner occupied offers will be considered 8th day through 15th calendar day. All buyers offers will be considered beginning on the 16th calendar day after initial listing. After a price reduction the first 8 days seller will only look at owner occupied offers. 9th day all offers will be considered after a listing modification.
-
2016-07-25historical
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2015-04-20$85,000
-
2012-02-01soldstatus $95,000
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2012-01-31soldstatus $95,000
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2011-08-02$99,000
-
2007-09-05historical
-
2007-08-03$85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$991
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $6,902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,656
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Millerton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1146
- US rank
- #13184
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,497
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.69%
- Current HPI
- 262.1655
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-23.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-10-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-07-09 Listed $35,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-25 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-04-20 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
- 2012-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2012-01-31 Sold (MLS) $95,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-08-02 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
- 2007-09-05 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2007-08-03 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,442 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…