2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Other
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,683/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$962/mo
Annual
$11,546/yr
Cap rate
25.86%
Cash-on-cash
69.89%
DSCR
4.11
1% rule
2.85%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#43 in OR, #1,056 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Canby SD 86 (town): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #14 of 58 in OR (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carus School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #239 of 412 statewide, top 58%, 362 students, 40% FRL); Baker Prairie Middle School (math 42% / reading 54%, grade C-, #30 of 128 statewide, top 23%, 557 students, 33% FRL); Canby High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 1,393 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $59k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 2.1% in Canby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GE4M3C16VN168X
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29