3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$118/mo
Annual
$1,419/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.53%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (5.0% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#179 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Fruitland Primary (475 students, 51% FRL); Bennett Middle (math 13% / reading 29%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 906 students, 48% FRL); James M. Bennett High (math 55% / reading 66%, grade C+, #71 of 222 statewide, top 32%, 1,343 students, 44% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wicomico County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Fruitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Siding and paint
— Weathered and faded appearance.
Minor: Landscaping
— Needs trimming and maintenance.
Minor: Windows
— Appears functional but not new or well-maintained.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GEP983EK10FJ3P
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29