2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
897 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$931/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$175/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($175/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (6.9% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, schools F.
Lincoln Chsd 404 (town): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #367 of 620 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GFAW9Z5FP5ESAQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29