4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,663 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$815
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$62/mo
Annual
$744/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$43,540
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($744/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#287 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Haleyville City (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #50 of 129 in AL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Haleyville Elementary School (math 29% / reading 51%, grade F, #241 of 627 statewide, top 38%, 808 students, 70% FRL); Haleyville Middle School (math 17% / reading 46%, grade F, #114 of 257 statewide, top 45%, 357 students, 69% FRL); Haleyville High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 479 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Winston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winston County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Haleyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GFBCX24M2R1NX7
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29