3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$774/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$-128/mo
Annual
$-1,534/yr
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.99%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (20.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (29.6% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#546 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Caro Community Schools (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #380 of 540 in MI (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 56 units permitted in Tuscola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tuscola County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $110k implies a 387% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GFGRQZCC4N5BZC
· Data 43 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29