2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$352
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$-1,045/mo
Annual
$-12,540/yr
Cap rate
2.11%
Cash-on-cash
-14.93%
DSCR
0.34
1% rule
0.37%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (61.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (62.9% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (62.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,293 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Yantis ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #660 of 1,141 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 0.8% in Yantis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 63% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GFKRGW6HNN71TC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29