CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
287 Private Road 5936
D- Composite 39.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$299,900

287 Private Road 5936 · Yantis, TX 75497
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1999 0.49 ac lot $189/sqft · 25% below area Est $401k · 25% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

Key facts

  • Deep water well
  • Lake fork home
  • Community boat ramp

Tags

LAKE FORK HOMECOMMUNITY BOAT RAMPDEEP WATER WELLDETACHED GARAGEWORKSHOP AREASTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (61.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (62.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (62.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 0.7% in Yantis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,293 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Yantis ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #660 of 1,141 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,363 (62.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 63% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.37%
Cap rate
2.11%
Cash-on-cash
-14.93%
DSCR
0.34
GRM
22.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$400,906
List price
$299,900
Delta
-25.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
500 Private Road 5936 0.12mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,679 (+6%) 3mo $595,000 $354 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$96,704
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$336,968
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75497

Home prices YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
22.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,725/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$-1,045

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,436
Max offer price $115,299
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-875 -5% $-960 +0% $-1,045 +5% $-1,130 +10% $-1,215
Rent -10% $-1,133 -5% $-1,089 +0% $-1,045 +5% $-1,001 +10% $-957
Rate -1.0pp $-894 -0.5pp $-969 base $-1,045 +0.5pp $-1,123 +1.0pp $-1,202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,900 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $299,900 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $327,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $327,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $327,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $327,000 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $327,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $327,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $327,000 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $327,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $327,000 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $327,000 Active 143 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $327,000 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $327,000 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $327,000 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $327,000 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $327,000 Active 136 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    price $327,000 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  19. 2026-04-15
    price $327,000 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  20. 2026-03-21
    price $350,000 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  21. 2026-03-21
    price $350,000 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  22. 2026-01-14
    listed $375,000 Active 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  23. 2026-01-14
    listed $375,000 Active 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Extremely well maintained Lake Fork home, located in a great subdivision with fantastic neighbors on Legendary Lake Fork. This property has beautiful views of Lake Fork with the community boat ramp right out your side door. Home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, lots of built-ins and is tiled throughout the home with carpet in the bedrooms. Property has a deep water well to the house so no water bills here. A detached 14' x 24' single car garage with workshop area, a 14' x 14' storage shed that is perfect for all your lawn equipment, your well house is connected to the shed. There is an 11' x 22' open patio area with gorgeous views of World Famous Lake Fork! No HOA here, but subdivision has deed restrictions to site-built homes only and $300 per year road maintenance fee for private road. All furnishings and appliances are negotiable. Buyer to verify any and all information.

  24. 1998-04-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,725 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,488 · $457/mo
Expected delta
+$2,763/yr (+$230/mo · 101.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,364
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$2,725
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$18,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,445
After-tax cash flow
$-8,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yantis ISD
NCES district ID
4846590
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,900
Composite
37.78/100
National rank
#8742
State rank
#660 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Yantis

Score
56/100
State rank
#1293
US rank
#22462

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,794
Population (ZIP)
3,794

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,480 people
By 2030
47,796 · +2.8%
By 2040
50,142 · +7.9%
By 2050
52,122 · +12.1%
By 2075
57,033 · +22.7%
By 2100
56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.09%
Current HPI
278.18
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $327,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $327,000 GTAR
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $350,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $350,000 GTAR
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $375,000 GTAR
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $375,000 NTREIS
  • 1998-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,725 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…