3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$896/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$188
Net cashflow
$501/mo
Annual
$6,010/yr
Cap rate
26.33%
Cash-on-cash
71.55%
DSCR
4.18
1% rule
2.99%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($896 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#116 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Elkhart (rural): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #80 of 169 in KS (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elkhart Elem (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #535 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 155 students, 66% FRL); Elkhart Middle School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #134 of 219 statewide, top 63%, 120 students, 60% FRL); Elkhart High (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #289 of 327 statewide, top 93%, 112 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 34% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Elkhart average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
Morton County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GG1A7TBHP64Z3B
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29