345 Hilltop St · Elkhart, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,779 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.18 acres
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Concrete road access
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; No fencing
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($896 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#116 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Elkhart (rural): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #80 of 169 in KS (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elkhart Elem (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #535 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 155 students, 66% FRL); Elkhart Middle School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #134 of 219 statewide, top 63%, 120 students, 60% FRL); Elkhart High (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #289 of 327 statewide, top 93%, 112 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 34% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Elkhart average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Morton County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.55%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $37,408
- Equity at exit
- $15,489
- IRR
- 75.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.27×
- Total profit
- $86,275
- Equity at exit
- $25,559
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67950
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $896 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $522 | -5% $511 | +0% $501 | +5% $490 | +10% $480 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $430 | -5% $465 | +0% $501 | +5% $536 | +10% $572 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $508 | base $501 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $30,000
-
2026-04-08status Active
-
2026-02-05status Pending
-
2026-01-26$35,000 Active
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $50,000
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $50,000
-
2001-05-01soldstatus $37,500
-
2001-05-01soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$861
- − Management
- −$861
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $5,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart
- NCES district ID
- 2005790
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,271
- Composite
- 28.3/100
- National rank
- #6788
- State rank
- #80 of 169 in KS
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #6297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,786
Population outlook (Morton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576 people
- By 2030
- 2,363 · -8.3%
- By 2040
- 1,940 · -24.7%
- By 2050
- 1,559 · -39.5%
- By 2075
- 881 · -65.8%
- By 2100
- 558 · -78.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.4% · R 85.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -65.9pp · 2024: -73.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.4 2020: R+73.7 2016: R+71.1 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+65.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Current HPI
- 128.3365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-20.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $30,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-05 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-26 Listed $35,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…