3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,340 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,802/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$959/mo
Annual
$11,507/yr
Cap rate
22.97%
Cash-on-cash
59.56%
DSCR
3.65
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#141 in PA, #1,138 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Dallastown Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #102 of 539 in PA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $69k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 3.4% in East York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GG1VDX5WRRXMM2
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29